China's smart NEV market has been dominated by local brands, but global auto brands have caught up, said Deutsche Bank.
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Category: Insights
About 116,000 vehicles were exported from China to the US in 2024 and were dominated by US-branded models, analysts said.
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Counterpoint highlighted BYD's tech leadership, vertically integrated production model, and the fact that Tesla is facing multiple challenges.
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As Nio's car sales rise, battery swap services are expected to see rapid growth, analysts said.
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BYD could become the "Toyota" of the global EV market, said JPMorgan.
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Goldman Sachs raised its EV sales forecast for Xiaomi, citing more favorable demand and manufacturing capacity outlook.
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Deutsche Bank forecasts the BYD brand to sell 5.1 million cars in 2025, Denza brand at 250,000 and Fang Cheng Bao at 160,000 cars.
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Deutsche Bank analysts expect the subsidies to drive full-year demand growth of 3 million units in 2025 and support double-digit growth in the second and third quarters.
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Deutsche Bank analysts expect deliveries to double in 2025 for both Nio and Xpeng, with Li Auto growing 40 percent.
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More promotion boosted December deliveries of the Nio brand, while the increase of Onvo was due to improving supply, said analysts at Deutsche Bank.
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