Lithium producers including Ganfeng and Tianqi expect their net profits in 2023 to be much lower than in 2022, with the common reason being a sharp drop in lithium prices.
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The price war for power batteries is intensifying, with the world's two largest battery makers reportedly pushing battery costs down further.
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As demand in the power and energy storage battery markets cools, cell makers have adjusted their capacity utilization rates downward to reduce inventory.
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Lithium carbonate prices are expected to still have room to fall, with the supply-demand balance point expected to occur by the end of 2024 or 2025, an expert said.
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China's lithium battery industry's overcapacity will continue into 2024, and battery prices will still decline next year, TrendForce said.
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The average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate in China is falling close to RMB 150,000 per ton, about half of what it was at the end of June, as supply-demand imbalances continue.
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The price of battery-grade lithium carbonate fell below RMB 200,000 per ton for the first time in four months, as industry players' expectations of supply-demand balance changes.
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CATL asked cathode material suppliers in early July to offer a 5 percent to 10 percent discount in settling lithium carbonate prices, according to local media.
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Strong increases in lithium carbonate prices will not be immediately reflected in lithium battery prices, and prices of other raw materials are still falling, TrendForce said.
Prices for power battery cells continued to fall in May, even though the price of lithium carbonate, a key raw material, saw a big drop, according to a new report.
The average price of battery cells used in electric vehicles (EVs) fell about 9 percent in May from April, local research firm TrendForce said in a research note today.
The average price of square ternary cells fell 9.4 percent to RMB 0.75 ($0.1054) per Wh in China in May, while square lithium iron phosphate cells fell 9.5 percent to RMB 0.67 per Wh and soft pack ternary cells fell 9 percent to RMB 0.79 per Wh, according to the report.
The average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate in China has rebounded to RMB 254,300 per ton in May, up more than 28 percent from April, TrendForce said.
As of the end of May, battery-grade lithium carbonate was priced at RMB 305,000 per ton in China, up 57.22 percent from RMB 194,000 per ton on May 4, according to data from Mysteel monitored by CnEVPost.
Although the strong price increase in lithium carbonate is driving up the cost of cells, this will not be immediately reflected in lithium-ion battery prices in the short term, TrendForce said.
In addition, prices of other materials needed for lithium-ion batteries, such as cathode precursor materials, anode materials, diaphragms, electrolytes and PVDF, are still falling, so lithium-ion battery prices continued to be lower in May, the report said.
After a strong rebound in lithium prices in early mid-May, they have gradually stabilized in the second half of the month, TrendForce said, adding that the Chinese power battery market is still slowly recovering in May, with demand improving slightly.
Lithium prices rose rapidly on one hand because of the low willingness of suppliers to offer lower prices, and on the other hand because of increased demand from downstream battery makers to replenish their inventories in May, according to the report.
Lithium prices began a strong rebound in May, with a single-day gain of up to 10,000 yuan per ton, which is an irrational increase, TrendForce said.
Actual demand for lithium was not growing at a high rate, but was steadily recovering, TrendForce said, adding that the peak in demand is expected to come in June.
($1 = RMB 7.1190)
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Strong increases in lithium carbonate prices will not be immediately reflected in lithium battery prices, and prices of other raw materials are still falling, TrendForce said.
Prices for power battery cells continued to fall in May, even though the price of lithium carbonate, a key raw material, saw a big drop, according to a new report.
The average price of battery cells used in electric vehicles (EVs) fell about 9 percent in May from April, local research firm TrendForce said in a research note today.
The average price of square ternary cells fell 9.4 percent to RMB 0.75 ($0.1054) per Wh in China in May, while square lithium iron phosphate cells fell 9.5 percent to RMB 0.67 per Wh and soft pack ternary cells fell 9 percent to RMB 0.79 per Wh, according to the report.
The average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate in China has rebounded to RMB 254,300 per ton in May, up more than 28 percent from April, TrendForce said.
As of the end of May, battery-grade lithium carbonate was priced at RMB 305,000 per ton in China, up 57.22 percent from RMB 194,000 per ton on May 4, according to data from Mysteel monitored by CnEVPost.
Although the strong price increase in lithium carbonate is driving up the cost of cells, this will not be immediately reflected in lithium-ion battery prices in the short term, TrendForce said.
In addition, prices of other materials needed for lithium-ion batteries, such as cathode precursor materials, anode materials, diaphragms, electrolytes and PVDF, are still falling, so lithium-ion battery prices continued to be lower in May, the report said.
After a strong rebound in lithium prices in early mid-May, they have gradually stabilized in the second half of the month, TrendForce said, adding that the Chinese power battery market is still slowly recovering in May, with demand improving slightly.
Lithium prices rose rapidly on one hand because of the low willingness of suppliers to offer lower prices, and on the other hand because of increased demand from downstream battery makers to replenish their inventories in May, according to the report.
Lithium prices began a strong rebound in May, with a single-day gain of up to 10,000 yuan per ton, which is an irrational increase, TrendForce said.
Actual demand for lithium was not growing at a high rate, but was steadily recovering, TrendForce said, adding that the peak in demand is expected to come in June.
($1 = RMB 7.1190)
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